Climate change in the Middle East may soon make much of the Gulf region too hot for humans is an article published by PRI’s The World on October 27th, 2015. This article was prefaced as Climate conditions in much of the Persion Gulf / Arabian Peninsula area will often push past the limits of human adaptability by the end of this century under current greenhouse gas pollution trends, according to a new report in Nature Climate Change.
Another article published by the National UAE on May 4th, 2016 on the same subject is reproduced here.
Hotter summers in store for UAE, study predicts . . .
Written by Vesela Todorova and published by The National UAE .
More hot days are ahead for the region despite plans to curb the global average temperature rise. If climate change isn’t limited, it may soon be too hot for us to be outdoors.
Climate change will bring hotter summers to the UAE, a new study predicts.
Higher average temperatures and a greater number of hot days are ahead for the region, even if average global temperatures are curbed at the politically agreed 2°C limit, while an uncontrolled rise in emissions will make it impossible for people to stay outdoors for long.
The study examined 26 different climate models, as well as actual climate data, to find the temperature changes expected in 29 countries in the Middle East and North Africa.
The scientists, who work in Germany and Cyprus, also factored in two alternatives related to concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
One option assumed some action on climate change, with emissions peaking in 2040 and decreasing afterwards.
The second option is what is commonly known as the “business-as-usual scenario”, which assumes humanity will not address the problem and emissions will continue to rise.
This would be “a horror scenario for the region”, said one of the authors of the study, Prof Jos Lelieveld, director at the Max Planck Institute for Chemistry and professor at the Cyprus Institute. “It should be prevented at all costs.”
The scientists studied temperatures in the period between 1986 and 2005, when the highest average daytime temperature was 43°C.
Under the business-as-usual scenario, this could reach almost 47°C by the middle of this century and almost 50°C at the end.
Read more at http://www.thenational.ae/uae/hotter-summers-in-store-for-uae-study-predicts